How does this Steam revenue calculator estimate revenue?

Before launch it estimates wishlists from your Community Hub followers (9.6x to 12x) or uses the count you enter, then applies published week-one conversion rates of 5%, 11% and 20%. After launch, large games Gamalytic tracks use Gamalytic's per-game sales estimate (Aug 2026); every other game multiplies total reviews by 30x to 40x, and a game with fewer than 10 reviews gets a launch-week estimate from followers. All of them then run through the same deduction waterfall.

Why is my net revenue so much lower than 70% of my price?

Because 70% of list price only holds for a full-price, USD, non-refunded sale. Three things move it: VAT is removed before Steam's share is calculated, so the base is already smaller than your list price; regional pricing reduces average selling price for globally distributed games, often by 40-50% against USD list; and discounts are absorbed entirely by the developer. Refunds then reverse the transaction outright. Stacked together, a globally distributed $19.99 game nets closer to $7-9 per unit than $14.

How accurate is a follower-based wishlist estimate?

It is a planning range, not a count. Wishlist totals are private to Steamworks, so the tool derives them from followers; your real Steamworks number replaces the estimate as soon as you enter it.

Does the calculator use Steam's 30/25/20% tiers?

Yes. Steam's cut is applied per game at 30% on the first $10M of lifetime gross, 25% up to $50M and 20% above that, and the tiers are not retroactive.

What refund rate should I use?

The calculator defaults to roughly the median. A GameDiscoverCo survey of close to 150 developers put the cross-genre median around 9.5%. Early Access titles ran higher at about 12.4%, and developers with large Chinese player bases self-reported anywhere from 15% to 28% depending on title and genre. If you have no data of your own yet, keep the default and treat it as a planning midpoint, not a forecast for your specific game.

Is this a forecast of what my game will earn?

It is an estimate from public signals, shown as a range. Reviews-based sales vary with genre, and week-one conversion varies with your launch; treat the median as a planning figure and the range as the honest uncertainty.

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How much will your Steam game earn?

Paste a Steam page. Get a revenue range, where the money goes, and what similar games earned.

Try:

Example: Tactical Breach Wizards

Tactical Breach Wizards

Released · from 12,187 reviews

~$3.4M

lifetime net to date · ~$2.9M to ~$3.9M

Sales are estimated at 30x to 40x reviews at today's list price; genre changes the true multiple.

Attribution connects ad spend, Steam link tracking and wishlist numbers by channel, so you can see which channel is actually selling copies.

Book a free demo →

Where the money goes

Developer net: ~$3.4M20% average discount: ~$1.7MRegional pricing and VAT: ~$1.5MSteam's cut: ~$1.6M9.5% refunds: ~$350k

Stage	Amount	Share
List-price gross	~$8.5M	100%
After 20% average discount	~$6.8M	80%
After regional pricing and VAT	~$5.3M	62%
After Steam's cut	~$3.7M	44%
After 9.5% refunds	~$3.4M	40%

Regional mix

Deductions follow the order in our Steam revenue share guide.

You vs Puzzle

Above the median Puzzle game

#1: Portal 2~$230M
Top-20 average~$200M
You (gross)~$8.5M
Genre median~$3.8k

Gross at list price, to match the genre data. Your net is shown above. Bars use a log scale.

Genre data: list-price gross · Gamalytic estimates, Aug 2026 · 25,771 games

What games like yours earned

Up to 8 games Steam lists as similar.

Median of these games: ~$6.2M est.

Game	Signal	Est. lifetime net
Tactical Breach Wizards (you)	Your estimate	~$3.4M est.
MENACE	13,678 reviews	~$6.5M to ~$8.8M est.
STAR WARS Zero Company™	21,255 reviews	~$13M to ~$18M est.
FINAL FANTASY TACTICS - The Ivalice Chronicles	6,827 reviews	~$4M to ~$5.4M est.
Heroes of Might and Magic: Olden Era	22,850 reviews	~$11M to ~$15M est.
Battle Brothers	28,885 reviews	~$11M to ~$14M est.
Cyber Knights: Flashpoint	3,220 reviews	~$1.1M to ~$1.5M est.
Warhounds	845 reviews	~$350k to ~$470k est.
Ledgerbound	629 reviews	~$220k to ~$300k est.

Tactical Breach Wizards (you)

Your estimate

~$3.4M est.

MENACE

13,678 reviews

~$6.5M to ~$8.8M est.

STAR WARS Zero Company™

21,255 reviews

~$13M to ~$18M est.

FINAL FANTASY TACTICS - The Ivalice Chronicles

6,827 reviews

~$4M to ~$5.4M est.

Heroes of Might and Magic: Olden Era

22,850 reviews

~$11M to ~$15M est.

Battle Brothers

28,885 reviews

~$11M to ~$14M est.

Cyber Knights: Flashpoint

3,220 reviews

~$1.1M to ~$1.5M est.

Warhounds

845 reviews

~$350k to ~$470k est.

Ledgerbound

629 reviews

~$220k to ~$300k est.

How the estimate works

How the revenue estimate is built
Step	Formula	Source
Wishlists	Followers × 9.6 to 12	Steam data catalog
Week-one sales	Wishlists × 5% / 11% / 20%	GameDiscoverCo, via our wishlist conversion rates guide
Lifetime sales	Large games Gamalytic tracks: its per-game sales estimate. Others: reviews × 30 to 40	Gamalytic estimates, Aug 2026; Boxleiter method
Net	List price → discount → regional/VAT → Steam's cut → refunds	How much does Steam take? guide
Genre benchmark	Median and top-20 list-price gross by tag	Gamalytic estimates, Aug 2026

What the calculator deducts, in order

Deductions applied to list-price gross, in order
Step	What it does
Discount	Reduces list price. Absorbed entirely by the developer, not shared with Steam.
Regional mix	Lowers average selling price. Globally distributed games often land 40-50% under USD list.
VAT	Extracted before Steam's share is calculated, so the base is already smaller than list.
Steam's revenue share	30% for almost every studio. Reduced tiers are per game and start above $10M lifetime gross.
Refunds	Reverses the transaction. Cross-genre median is roughly 9.5%.